The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derry City 34.5%
Draw 28.8%
Shamrock Rovers 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
28.1%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
27.9%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Derry City - Shamrock Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Norcott T. (G) 22. Barr C. 4. Stott J. 3. McClean P. 19. Fleming B. 12. Burns D. 8. O'Reilly A. 17. Twisk N. 14. Chapman E. 7. Duffy M. (C) 29. Smith T.
1. McGinty E. (G) 2. Matthews A. 5. Grace L. (C) 27. O'Sullivan C. 8. Healy M. 22. Sobowale T. 26. O'Sullivan J. 29. Byrne J. 19. Brennan A. 31. Noonan M. 10. Burke G.
Substitutes
2. Cotter B. 32. Doherty T. 23. Dummigan C. 25. Grogan C. 24. Lyons-Foster B. 1. Maher B. (G) 36. McColgan M. 28. Olayinka J. 38. Prigent Y.
6. Cleary D. 24. Fitzgerald W. 9. Greene A. 88. McGovern J. 11. Mulraney J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 17. O'Regan L. 3. Stevens E. 7. Watts D.
Coaches
Connolly M.
Bradley S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Chapman E. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
6', McClean P. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Duffy M. ⚽, Burns D. (A),
18', Noonan M. 🟨,
24', Stott J. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Noonan M. ⚽, Burke G. (A),
33', 3 - 1, Chapman E. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
44', Matthews A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
64', Chapman E. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
69', O'Sullivan J. ↓, Fitzgerald W. ↑,
69', Matthews A. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Burke G. ⚽, Fitzgerald W. (A),
78', Byrne J. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
79', Brennan A. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
79', Twisk N. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
79', Burns D. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Watts D. ⚽, Fitzgerald W. (A),
86', Mulraney J. ↓, Cleary D. ↑,
88', Fitzgerald W. 🟨,
90+5', Smith T. ↓, McColgan M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
Derry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shamrock's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Clarke J.
(Red Card)
Markey D.
(Injury)
McClean J.
(Inactive)
Santos K.
(Inactive)
Winchester C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D.
(Muscle Injury)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Grant D.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozhianvuna V.
(Knock)
Razi N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Shamrock: McGovern J.
(Groin Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
Finland
United-kingdom
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World
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Norcott T. (G) 
Barr C. 
McClean P. 
Twisk N. 
Matthews A. 
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