Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	15:30	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Shandong Taishan B		Guizhou Guiyang Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.80	2.50
	2.70	2.80	2.60
	2.86	2.95	2.66
	2.79	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.80	2.70	2.60
	2.65	2.93	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.37)	2.84 ↓ (3.06)	2.58 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan B
33%

Draw
31.9%

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan B than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shandong Taishan B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Shandong Taishan B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ilham I. (G) 55. He Bingzhuang 44. Qi Qiancheng 23. Wang Tianyou (C) 43. Wang Y. 29. Ma Yinhao 40. Mei Shuaijun 60. Hao Fubo 8. He K. 16. Yan Hengye 18. Li X.	23. Chen J. (G) 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 35. Lu Wentao 33. Feng Yifan 57. Li Xi'nan 32. Wang Haozhi 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 40. Chen Y. 25. Ma Chongchong 21. Hu Mingtian 7. Liu Yujie
Substitutes
49. Deng Chunze 2. Deng Zhiwen 50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 14. Guo Xin 35. Huang Yizhuo 7. Li Yuanjie 21. Niu Bowei (G) 9. Sun Ziyue 30. Xiao Chenxi 48. Yang Yang 22. Zhang Xuyao 46. Zihan Chen	10. Chen Chenzhenyang 28. Chen Long 41. Jinghang Z. 22. Kong Yinquan 11. Liao Chongjiu 42. Luo Wenqi 8. Sun Enming 24. Wu Zhongcan 29. Xu Jiajun 37. Yang Youxian 31. Yan H. (G) 17. Zheng Shengxiong
Coaches
Zhang Haitao	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Liu Yujie ⚽, Abduklim Merdanjan (A),
14', He Bingzhuang 🟨,
22', Wang Haozhi ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
25', Sun Enming 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Yan Hengye ⚽, Li X. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chen Y. ↓, Wu Zhongcan ↑,
46', Li Xi'nan ↓, Kong Yinquan ↑,
52', Abduklim Merdanjan 🟨,
54', Yan Hengye 🟨,
65', Ma Chongchong 🟨,
66', Hao Fubo ↓, Zihan Chen ↑,
66', Hu Mingtian ↓, Zheng Shengxiong ↑,
71', Ilham I. 🟨,
82', Li X. ↓, Deng Chunze ↑,
82', Abduklim Merdanjan ↓, Yang Youxian ↑,
89', Ma Yinhao ↓, Guo Xin ↑,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Shandong Taishan B (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Guizhou Guiyang have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Taishan B has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shandong Taishan B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan B	28	14	8	6	39:25	14	50
5	Guizhou Guiyang	28	15	4	9	37:23	14	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan B
Chinese Yi League
06.10.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Shandong Taishan B	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Shandong Taishan B - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shandong Taishan B	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shandong Taishan B - Dalian Yingbo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTLL
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
06.10.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shanghai Port B	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Chengdu Rongcheng B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
19.10.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shandong Taishan B	1:0
14.09.25	Shandong Taishan B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:2

Shandong Taishan B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic