Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass (Taiyuan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Guizhou Guiyang Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.10	2.05
	3.30	2.90	2.10
	3.88	3.05	2.06
	3.16	2.93	2.33	Watch
	3.55	3.00	2.03
	3.74	3.12	2.08
	3.40	3.05	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.5)	3.02 ↑ (2.85)	2.09 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
26.2%

Draw
30.1%

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guizhou Guiyang Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhang Haixuan (G) 16. Ding Yunfeng 60. Zhang Junzhe (C) 39. Zhang Tianlong 24. Wang Haowen 38. Zhang Hui 55. He L. 9. Palmanjan K. 19. Wu Linfeng 22. Li Jinyu 33. Chen Xiangyu	23. Chen J. (G) 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 35. Lu Wentao 25. Ma Chongchong 40. Chen Y. 8. Sun Enming 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 42. Luo Wenqi 11. Liao Chongjiu 22. Kong Yinquan 28. Chen Long
Substitutes
14. Beisen H. 28. Chen Shaohao 10. Iskandar B. 30. Ling Zhongyang 8. Luan H. 49. Lu Jiajun 37. Nurlan Nurzat 4. Wang J. 15. Wang Kuan (G) 26. Xie Jinzheng 23. Yang Yixuan 31. Zhuoyu Y. (G)	10. Chen Chenzhenyang 33. Feng Yifan 21. Hu Mingtian 41. Jinghang Z. 7. Liu Yujie 57. Li Xi'nan 24. Wu Zhongcan 29. Xu Jiajun 37. Yang Youxian 31. Yan H. (G) 17. Zheng Shengxiong 20. Zhou Z.
Coaches
Cao Rui	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Ma Chongchong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Palmanjan K. ⚽, Zhang Hui (A),
59', Chen Long ↓, Liu Yujie ↑,
59', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Hu Mingtian ↑,
59', Luo Wenqi ↓, Wu Zhongcan ↑,
63', Sun Enming 🟨,
68', Liu Yujie 🟨,
68', Ma Chongchong ↓, Jinghang Z. ↑,
71', Wu Linfeng ↓, Beisen H. ↑,
78', Chen Xiangyu ↓, Wang J. ↑,
82', Zhang Wentao ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
88', Zhang Hui ↓, Ling Zhongyang ↑,
90+5', Beisen H. ↓, Lu Jiajun ↑,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guizhou Guiyang holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Guizhou Guiyang	25	14	3	8	34:20	14	45
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	25	13	5	7	30:18	12	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
13.09.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Shanghai Port B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWW
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Chengdu Rongcheng B	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	4:3 ✺
05.08.26	Wenzhou Professional - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTTLW

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