Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Shandong Taishan B		Hunan Billows

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
				Watch
	2.79	2.97	2.66
	2.73	2.93	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.66	2.95	2.53
	2.65	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.24)	2.97 ↓ (3.18)	2.53 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan B
33.5%

Draw
30.6%

Hunan Billows
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shandong Taishan B's performance.

Hunan Billows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hunan Billows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan B than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shandong Taishan B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hunan Billows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shandong Taishan B - Hunan Billows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Liu Qiwei (G) 61. Qi Qiancheng 64. Peng Xiao 68. Shi Songchen 66. He Bingzhuang 44. Memet Imran 59. Mei S. 55. Zhang Yingkai 46. Tang Rui 63. Yan Hengye 60. Amut Y.	1. Bai S. (G) 53. Yu B. 25. Li Chenguang 32. Wang B. 16. Liu Jing 17. Liao Wei 21. Lu Yuefeng 13. Iskandar B. 23. Liao Haochuan 19. Liu Xinyu 22. Tursun Qeyser
Substitutes
45. Chen Zeshi 62. Fu Yuxuan 71. Gong R. 56. Jing Xinbo 52. Lu J. 41. Niu Bowei (G) 58. Peng Y. 43. Sun Ziyue 49. Tashmemet Ezher 69. Tash Mustapa 42. Wang Jiancong 65. Yin Jiaxi	6. Chen Ao 28. Dong Jianhong (G) 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 14. Han Dong 2. Hu Yongfa 5. Jiang Zhe 56. Liu Guanjun 35. Li Xiaoting 45. Lu Y. 51. Yin R. 8. Zimin Nuali
Coaches
Han Peng	Teng Renjun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Peng Xiao ⚽, Amut Y. (A),
28', Shi Songchen 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Tang Rui ⚽,
42', Qi Qiancheng 🟨,
43', Peng Xiao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Liao Wei ↓, Jiang Zhe ↑,
46', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Zimin Nuali ↑,
46', Iskandar B. ↓, Lu Y. ↑,
46', Qi Qiancheng ↓, Tash Mustapa ↑,
70', Memet Imran ↓, Yin Jiaxi ↑,
74', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Li Xiaoting ↑,
79', Yan Hengye ↓, Peng Y. ↑,
80', Amut Y. ↓, Tashmemet Ezher ↑,
80', Li Xiaoting 🟨,
80', Yu B. ↓, Yin R. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', Wang B. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Tang Rui ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan B
Chinese Yi League
29.09.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shandong Taishan B	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shandong Taishan B	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Shandong Taishan B - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Shanghai Port B - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Hunan Billows - Shandong Taishan B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
28.09.24	Hunan Billows - Shaanxi Union	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Dalian Kun City - Hunan Billows	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Hunan Billows - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Hunan Billows - Shandong Taishan B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
31.08.24	Hunan Billows - Shandong Taishan B	3:1

Shandong Taishan B - Hunan Billows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide