Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Dalian Kun City		Hunan Billows

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.6
				Watch
	1.91	3.02	4.32
	1.87	3.13	4.27	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	1.81	3.28	4.22
	1.92	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	3.92 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
47.5%

Draw
29.3%

Hunan Billows
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

32.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hunan Billows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Dalian Kun City - Hunan Billows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Zhuo (G) 32. Song Chen 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 18. Ren W. 6. Ge Hailun 49. Yan Shoukuan 21. Chen Rong 25. Cong Zhen 23. Yin Lu 28. Cui Hao 37. Chen Jiaqi	1. Bai S. (G) 2. Hu Yongfa 37. Geng Zhiqing 35. Li Xiaoting 16. Liu Jing 6. Chen Ao 53. Yu B. 27. Zu Pengchao 22. Tursun Qeyser 14. Han Dong 19. Liu Xinyu
Substitutes
55. Ali M. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 11. Ge Yuxiang 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 14. Li Xudong 34. Li Z. 17. Yang Fan 36. Yuan H. 60. Zhong Ziqin 9. Zhou Bingxu 10. Zhu Shiyu	28. Dong Jianhong (G) 20. Halimurat Kamiran 13. Iskandar B. 5. Jiang Zhe 23. Liao Haochuan 25. Li Chenguang 45. Lu Y. 21. Lu Yuefeng 18. Sun Zewen 32. Wang B. 51. Yin R.
Coaches
Zhou L.	Teng Renjun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Geng Zhiqing 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Song Chen ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Han Dong ↓, Lu Y. ↑,
46', Yu B. ↓, Jiang Zhe ↑,
58', Liu Xinyu ↓, Halimurat Kamiran ↑,
61', Cong Zhen ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
62', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Ali M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Chen Jiaqi ⚽, Cui Hao (A),
70', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Lu Yuefeng ↑,
70', Geng Zhiqing ↓, Li Chenguang ↑,
77', Chen Rong ↓, Ge Yuxiang ↑,
79', Zu Pengchao 🟨,
85', 3 - 0, Ali M. ⚽,
87', Ali M. 🟨,
90', Cui Hao ↓, Zhou Bingxu ↑,
90', Chen Jiaqi ↓, Yuan H. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
16.09.24	Dalian Kun City - Shanghai Port B	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Hunan Billows - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWT
- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
15.09.24	Hunan Billows - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Hunan Billows - Shandong Taishan B	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Hunan Billows - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
18.08.24	Hunan Billows - Dalian Kun City	0:0

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