Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Shenzhen Juniors		Shandong Taishan B

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.5
				Watch
	1.67	3.33	5.32
	1.67	3.49	4.92	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.8
	1.63	3.53	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)	3.59 ↓ (4.2)	5.4 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
57.6%

Draw
25.4%

Shandong Taishan B
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Shandong Taishan B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Shenzhen Juniors - Shandong Taishan B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Chen Zirong (G) 26. Mai Sijing 27. Sun Xiaobin 16. Zhou Xin 12. Han Guanghui 21. Chen Y. 59. Wen Y. 28. Li Yingjian 18. Shi Yucheng 29. Lin Zefeng 17. Hu Ming	51. Liu Qiwei (G) 71. Gong R. 61. Qi Qiancheng 68. Shi Songchen 55. Zhang Yingkai 45. Chen Zeshi 65. Yin Jiaxi 46. Tang Rui 59. Mei S. 60. Amut Y. 63. Yan Hengye
Substitutes
15. Chen Weiqi 6. Liang Rifu 3. Liu Zejun 24. Li Yuyang 11. Lu J. 20. Men Yang 56. Wang Jiakun 41. Wang Shihan (G) 55. Wen Ruijie 10. Xie Baoxian 4. Yasuhiro T. 22. Zhong Junze	66. He Bingzhuang 56. Jing Xinbo 67. Liu Qingchang (G) 70. Luan Yi (G) 52. Lu J. 44. Memet Imran 64. Peng Xiao 43. Sun Ziyue 49. Tashmemet Ezher 69. Tash Mustapa 42. Wang Jiancong 53. Wang Tianyou
Coaches
Zhang Jun	Han Peng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Hu Ming 🟨,
25', Chen Zeshi ↓, Wang Jiancong ↑,
25', Hu Ming ↓, Men Yang ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Li Yingjian ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gong R. ↓, Peng Xiao ↑,
46', Han Guanghui ↓, Yasuhiro T. ↑,
52', Tang Rui 🟨,
62', Tang Rui ↓, Memet Imran ↑,
67', Li Yingjian 🟨,
78', Li Yingjian ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
78', Lin Zefeng ↓, Xie Baoxian ↑,
80', Yin Jiaxi ↓, Sun Ziyue ↑,
80', Amut Y. ↓, Tashmemet Ezher ↑,
85', Shi Songchen ↓, He Bingzhuang ↑,
86', Shi Yucheng ↓, Wang Jiakun ↑,
90+1', Wen Y. ↓, Liu Zejun ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
22.09.24	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shenzhen Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTWL
- Shandong Taishan B
Chinese Yi League
22.09.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shandong Taishan B	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Shandong Taishan B - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Shanghai Port B - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Hunan Billows - Shandong Taishan B	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
24.08.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0

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