The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shanghai Port 37%
Draw 24.2%
Shanghai Shenhua 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
23.6%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
24.2%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.
Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Shenhua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Port: 4% โ 71%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (C) 22. Yang A. 8. Jean Claude 13. Wei Zhen 40. Yusup Umidjan 28. Yue Xin 49. Li X. 10. Mateus Vital 21. Melendo O. 17. Ampem P. O. 45. Leonardo
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 16. Yang Zexiang 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 13. Manafa W. 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 10. Teixeira J. 9. Rafael Ratao 19. Asue L.
Substitutes
12. Chen Wei (G) 23. Fu Huan 26. Liu Ruofan 33. Liu Zhurun 53. Li Zhiliang (G) 38. Lu Yongtao 14. Orr M. 4. Wang Shenchao 19. Wang Zhenao 7. Wu Lei 20. Yang Shiyuan 37. Zhang J.
45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 50. Jiang Z. (G) 6. Li Songyi 24. Ma Zhen (G) 11. Saulo Mineiro 2. Wang Shilong 30. Xie Pengfei 21. Xu Haoyang 26. Yang Shuai 25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Muscat K.
Slutski L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Jean Claude 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Leonardo ⚽, Ampem P. O. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Li X. ⚽, Melendo O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Yue Xin ↓, Wang Zhenao ↑,
65', Teixeira J. ↓, Xie Pengfei ↑,
78', Gao Tianyi ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
78', Zhu Chenjie ↓, Li Songyi ↑,
78', Li X. ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
86', Melendo O. ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
87', Yang A. ↓, Wang Shenchao ↑,
87', Leonardo ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
90+2', Wang Zhenao 🟨,
90+2', Yang Zexiang 🟨,
90+2', Wang Haijian ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Port won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Shanghai Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shanghai Port has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Shanghai Port: Browning Tyias
(Knee Injury)
Gabrielzinho
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Jiang Shenglong
(Illness)
Ke L.
(Injury)
Liu Chengyu
(Injury)
Saulo Mineiro
(Injury)
There are questionable in Shanghai Port: Kuai Jiwen
(Knock)
There are questionable in Shanghai Shenhua: Jin Shunkai
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Port won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai Port won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).