Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Referee: Haixin L. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shanghai Shenhua		Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.50	5.50
	1.42	4.65	6.1	Watch
	1.47	4.67	6.08
	1.43	4.68	6.29	Watch
	1.43	4.5	5.95
	1.48	4.64	6.33	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.65 ↓ (4.68)	6.14 ↓ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
64.8%

Draw
20.1%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 5. Zhu Chenjie 26. Yang Shuai 27. Chan Shinichi 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 9. Rafael Ratao 30. Xie Pengfei 19. Asue L.	25. Yan Bingliang (G) 4. Yang Fan 11. Xie Weijun 18. Cordoba A. 31. Sun Ming-Him 29. Ba Dun 8. Xadas 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 14. Huang Jiahui 7. Guilherme Schettine 9. Quiles A.
Substitutes
45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 50. Jiang Z. (G) 6. Li Songyi 24. Ma Zhen (G) 10. Teixeira J. 2. Wang Shilong 21. Xu Haoyang 16. Yang Zexiang 25. Zhu Yue	24. Chen Zhexuan 28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 19. Liu J. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 6. Wang Xianjun 3. Wang Zhenghao 17. Wu Xinghan
Coaches
Slutski L.	Yu Genwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Yang Fan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Yang Fan ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
63', Ba Dun ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
63', Wang Qiuming ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
63', Xie Pengfei ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
63', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Wu Xinghan ↑,
64', Gao Tianyi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
71', Huang Jiahui ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Xadas ⚽, Ji Shengpan (A),
79', Wu Xinghan 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 4.

Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Jiang Shenglong (Illness) Ke L. (Inactive) Liu Chengyu (Inactive) Saulo Mineiro (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai Shenhua won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
05.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Zhejiang Professional	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	1:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTL
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
04.07.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
31.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Young Boy	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	2:3
22.11.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3
25.06.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:0
21.09.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
11.05.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0
29.10.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1
02.07.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2

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