The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 45.4%
Draw 30.7%
Lanzhou Longyuan 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
29.1%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
28.2%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
13. Zhang Haixuan (G) 16. Ding Yunfeng 60. Zhang Junzhe 39. Zhang Tianlong 24. Wang Haowen 38. Zhang Hui 10. Iskandar B. (C) 9. Palmanjan K. 19. Wu Linfeng 7. Kurban Eysajan 33. Chen Xiangyu
13. Mu Qianyu (C) 29. Zhao Xiaolong 17. Erkin Ababekri 47. Yang Shengming 2. Luo H. 22. Jiang W. 14. Zhang Zichao 25. Zhang Yue 10. Sun Xinkai 7. Lu J. 40. Lu Zhiyuan
Substitutes
14. Beisen H. 28. Chen Shaohao 55. He L. 22. Li Jinyu 30. Ling Zhongyang 49. Lu Jiajun 37. Nurlan Nurzat 4. Wang J. 15. Wang Kuan (G) 26. Xie Jinzheng 23. Yang Yixuan 31. Zhuoyu Y. (G)
8. Abdukerim O. 55. Abdurahman A. 42. Hu Yubo 37. Ke Yuan 19. Liu Xinyu 18. Memetimin Mewlan 5. Pan Yuchen 16. Wang S. 4. Xiao Yufeng 1. Zhang Jihao (G)
Coaches
Cao Rui
Zhang Xiaorui
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Jiang W. 🟨,
26', Wang Haowen 🟨,
45+3', Zhang Zichao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Zhang Yue ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
61', Zhao Xiaolong ↓, Hu Yubo ↑,
75', Zhang Hui ↓, He L. ↑,
75', Wu Linfeng ↓, Beisen H. ↑,
77', Jiang W. ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
80', Zhang Junzhe ↓, Wang J. ↑,
85', Kurban Eysajan ↓, Lu Jiajun ↑,
85', Iskandar B. ↓, Ling Zhongyang ↑,
85', Lu J. ↓, Memetimin Mewlan ↑,
90+3', Mu Qianyu 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Shanxi is Qualified for League Two (Promotion Group )
Lanzhou Longyuan is League Two (Relegation Group )
Now, both teams are in good form.
Recently, Lanzhou Longyuan has had a series of home games.
In this match, Shanxi is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Shanxi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).