Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 25

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Haines A. (Eng)


	Sheffield Wednesday		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	11
	1.3	5.25	9.25
	1.28	5.75	10.5
	1.29	5.2	9.2
	1.29	5.61	11.75
	1.29	5	11
	1.32	5.45	10.75	Watch
	1.3	5.2	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	5.31 ↑ (4.4)	10.36 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
73%

Draw
17.8%

Cambridge United
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.5%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield Wednesday's performance.

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Sheffield Wednesday - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheffield Wednesday will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 19).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (31.75%), has project points - 91, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a chance of win league (32%).

Cambridge has the most likely position - 22 (13.49%), has project points - 48, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 19, importance 59, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sheff Wed is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cambridge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheff Wed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sheff Wed is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
29.12.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
10.12.22	Exeter City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTT
- Cambridge United
English League One
30.12.22	Derby County - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
26.12.22	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
10.12.22	Cambridge United - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.12.22	Cambridge United - West Ham United	2:4 ✺
English League One
03.12.22	Forest Green Rovers - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.10.22	Cambridge United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
12.03.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Cambridge United	6:0
19.10.21	Cambridge United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1
English League Cup
09.08.16	Cambridge United - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ET

Upcoming Matches