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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 31.9%
Draw 27%
Plymouth Argyle 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.3%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
27%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Cambridge United - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Plymouth will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 48.9% – 84.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Cambridge has the most likely position - 22 (14.57%), has project points - 45, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Plymouth has the most likely position - 2 (19.94%), has project points - 86, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has a chance of win league (19%).
This event has small quality18, importance52, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.
Cambridge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Plymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Cambridge have a series of home games.
Plymouth will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
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