The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 40.5%
Draw 26.6%
Plymouth Argyle 32.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.1%
26.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
26.4%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Cambridge United - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 6. Watts K. (C) 15. Heffernan C. 22. Bradshaw Z. 17. Mpanzu P. 38. Hoddle G. 10. Knight B. 44. Bangura-Williams R. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.
1. Cooper M. (G) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 15. Mitchell A. 45. Harding W. (C) 29. Sorinola M. 19. Bakinson T. 7. White H. 3. MacKenzie J. 10. Amaechi X. 27. Pepple A. 9. Evans W.
Substitutes
5. Bauer P. 29. Curtis S. 13. Gabe Breeze (G) 7. Heath I. 19. Lavery S. 8. Moxon O. 12. Stead C.
11. Curtis R. 8. Edwards J. 22. Hartridge A. 23. Ibrahim B. 14. Irow O. 21. Storer J. (G) 17. Watts C.
Coaches
Harris N.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mitchell A. 🟨,
14', Kaikai S. 🟨,
29', Bakinson T. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Appere L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Amaechi X. ⚽, White H. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽,
61', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
62', Hoddle G. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
68', Amaechi X. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Pepple A. (Penalty Awarded),
78', MacKenzie J. ↓, Hartridge A. ↑,
80', Mpanzu P. ↓, Stead C. ↑,
82', Sorinola M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
83', Bakinson T. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Lavery S. ⚽, Bradshaw Z. (A),
90+5', Heffernan C. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - League One Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion - League One Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1.
Cambridge is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Plymouth has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Cambridge has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Cambridge: McLoughlin S.
(Calf Injury)
Perry C.
(Inactive)
Stead C.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Plymouth: Baidoo M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Boateng M.
(Knee Injury)
Oseni O.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Plymouth: Ross M.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cambridge has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cambridge against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Plymouth
13
7
1
5
21:19
2
22
7
Cambridge Utd
13
5
6
2
21:18
3
21
Outrights of English League One for now
Plymouth: 7.4% Cambridge Utd: 3.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Plymouth Argyle - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Eastwood J. (G) 
Heffernan C. 
Mpanzu P. 
Bangura-Williams R. 
Appere L. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Harding W. (C) 
Pepple A. 
Evans W. 
Bauer P. 
Lavery S. 
Watts C. 
