The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 33.9%
Draw 25.9%
Cambridge United 40.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
25.7%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
25%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Barnsley - Cambridge United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Ravenhill R. (G) 11. Noslin T. 6. O'Riordan C. 5. Shepherd J. 2. Kay A. 8. McGeehan C. (C) 45. Yoganathan V. 32. Brownlie R. 22. Kelly P. 19. Cleary R. 7. Adeyemo T.
1. Eastwood J. (G) 15. Heffernan C. 6. Watts K. 22. Bradshaw Z. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 8. Moxon O. 7. Heath I. 10. Knight B. 17. Mpanzu P. 14. Ahadme G.
Substitutes
30. Bland J. 4. Gale S. 12. Okedina J. 46. Reid O. 17. Richards A. 1. Slicker C. (G) 13. Taylor C.
9. Appere L. 44. Bangura-Williams R. 5. Bauer P. 29. Curtis S. 13. Gabe Breeze (G) 38. Hoddle G. 19. Lavery S.
Coaches
Stendel D.
Harris N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Cleary R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Yoganathan V. ⚽,
43', Kay A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Moxon O. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
46', Heath I. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
46', O'Riordan C. 🟨,
48', Bangura-Williams R. 🟨,
50', Lavery S. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Knight B. ⚽, Lavery S. (A),
66', Ball D. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,
76', Adeyemo T. 🟨,
77', Ahadme G. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
79', Knight B. 🟨,
82', Yoganathan V. ↓, Reid O. ↑,
83', Brownlie R. ↓, Richards A. ↑,
85', Adeyemo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Lavery S. ⚽,
90+2', Lavery S. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
90+5', Shepherd J. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 19th and 5th in the Promotion - League One Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.
Barnsley has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cambridge shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Barnsley: Jalo F.
(Inactive)
Larkeche Z.
(Inactive)
Slicker C.
(Injury)
Smith I.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Cambridge: McLoughlin S.
(Calf Injury)
Perry C.
(Inactive)
Stead C.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Barnsley: Toure B.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Cambridge: Hoddle G.
(Inactive).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:4 (averaging 1.8:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barnsley against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Cambridge Utd
13
5
6
2
21:18
3
21
23
Barnsley
11
2
2
7
11:21
-10
8
Outrights of English League One for now
Cambridge Utd: 3.2% Barnsley: 0.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Cambridge United - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.