Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Sheger Ketema		Bahir Dar Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.92	1.98
	3.53	2.85	2.22
	3.67	2.8	2.19	Watch
	3.6	2.63	2.15
	3.55	2.93	2.25
	3.5	2.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.32)	2.83 ↑ (2.67)	2.17 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
25.4%

Draw
32.3%

Bahir Dar Kenema
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

34.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

34.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Mekonnen Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bahir Dar could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
02.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sheger Ketema	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Saint George - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWTW
- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
30.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLT

Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide