Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 30

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Shenavarsazi Qeshm		Naft va Gaz Gachsaran

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.55	2.8
	2.75	2.57	2.99	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 (2.7)	2.61 ↓ (2.7)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenavarsazi Qeshm
33.6%

Draw
34.8%

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenavarsazi Qeshm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenavarsazi Qeshm than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Motahari A. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Jahani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 3 - 0, ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Shenavarsazi Qeshm has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naft Gachsaran is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenavarsazi Qeshm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
13	Naft Gachsaran	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.53%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Iran Division 1
09.06.26	Nassaji Mazandaran - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - SaiPa	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Besat Kermanshah - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Niroye Zamini	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Navad Urmia - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
Iran Division 1
09.06.26	Mes Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
02.06.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Besat Kermanshah	0:0 ✺
27.05.26	Damash Gilan - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Palayesh Naft - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
29.11.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2:1

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