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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen 58.1%
Draw 24.5%
Chengdu Rongcheng B 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
25.1%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
24.5%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Chengdu Rongcheng B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng B than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Shenzhen - Chengdu Rongcheng B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 5. Hai J. 55. Huang Keqi 4. Li Mingjie 12. Yongsu Huang 6. Luan Cheng (C) 8. Chen W. 47. Huang Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 11. Lu C.
55. Peng Haochen (G) 59. Wang Ziteng 17. Dai W. (C) 42. Xiong J. 27. Wang Yueheng 43. Zhang Kongzhi 7. Zhang Zili 45. Qeyser Ezimet 48. Li Moyu 29. Yao Zixuan 52. Shuai Weihao
Substitutes
15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 1. Hao M. (G) 30. Hu H. 49. Jiang W. 20. Li L. 10. Li P. 27. Liu Q. 9. Luo Kaisa 24. Pan N. 17. Shi Z. 28. Wang Zhiyuan
10. Cao Pinpai 37. Du Yijinwu 38. Huang Zhenghan 51. Li Ke 54. Linfei H. 44. Luo S. 60. Tang Zicheng (G) 46. Wu Jiayi 6. Xu Zhenghang 34. Yang J. 16. Yao Younan 56. Yi Yuchong
Coaches
Wang Baoshan
Xu Jianye
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Chen W. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
41', Lu C. ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
45+2', Huang Keqi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yongsu Huang ↓, Li P. ↑,
46', Zhang Kongzhi ↓, Wu Jiayi ↑,
61', Yao Zixuan ↓, Huang Zhenghan ↑,
72', Huang Z. ↓, Li L. ↑,
73', Li Mingjie ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
85', Zhang Zili ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Chen Z. ⚽, Jiang W. (A),
90', Li Moyu ↓, Linfei H. ↑,
90+7', Wang Ziyang 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Shenzhen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chengdu Rongcheng B has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Chengdu Rongcheng B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Shenzhen is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.