The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen 51.9%
Draw 27.2%
Nantong Haimen Codion 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
28.2%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
27.8%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.
Nantong Haimen Codion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Haimen Codion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Haimen Codion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
43. Yuan J. (C) 45. Yuan Z. 44. Luo Kaisa 55. Huang Keqi 46. Li Mingjie 47. Huang Z. 59. Chen W. 61. Luan Cheng 53. Shi Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 54. Wang Zhiyuan
45. Liang Zhenfu (C) 55. Chen Weijing 19. Zheng Lei 17. Bai Xianyi 46. Xu Kunxing 53. Cheng Yi 11. Pei Guoguang 49. Zhou Zifan 9. Yan Ge 16. Wang Bowen 59. Dai Yuanji
Substitutes
64. Chen Z. 68. Deng Z. 66. Hai J. 52. Hao M. (G) 42. Hu H. 49. Jiang W. 67. Li L. 56. Li P. 62. Liu Q. 51. Lu C. 65. Ruoke Xiang 50. Zhu X.
41. Ding Jianhua 57. Fan Yucheng 54. Luo Gaoju 56. Sun Qinan 42. Tan Jingbo 50. Wang Yubo 48. Wu Yucheng 52. Xie Gongbo (G) 22. Xu Yuese 43. Yang Mingtao 51. Zhou Xianfeng
Coaches
Sugiura D.
Lu Qiang
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Wang Zhiyuan ⚽, Shi Z. (A),
33', Zhou Zifan ↓, Ding Jianhua ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Wang Bowen ⚽,
61', Chen W. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
61', Wang Ziyang ↓, Li L. ↑,
66', Wang Bowen ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
70', Shi Z. ↓, Hai J. ↑,
70', Huang Z. ↓, Deng Z. ↑,
73', Zheng Lei ↓, Sun Qinan ↑,
73', Dai Yuanji ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
83', Ruoke Xiang ↓, Hu H. ↑,
87', Pei Guoguang ↓, Yang Mingtao ↑,
90+6', Sun Qinan 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Cheng Yi ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Nantong Haimen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Shenzhen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).