Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.25	1.8
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.4	3.55	1.75
	4.81	3.48	1.81
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.65	3.5	1.8
	4.6	3.35	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (6.24)	3.38 ↓ (4.3)	1.77 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen
20.1%

Draw
27.5%

Nantong Zhiyun
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

21.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

20.5%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Zhiyun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Zhiyun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Shenzhen - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dong Chunyu (G) 30. Huang Ruifeng 27. Yang Boyu 5. Tian Z. 13. Xu Haofeng 19. Xu Yue 44. Wakaso M. (C) 16. Zheng Dalun 10. Alessandrini R. 9. Donkin W. 18. Chen Xiangyu	32. Xue Qinghao (G) 4. Shinar Y. 14. Bressan 15. Liu Wei (C) 19. Liu H. 16. Puclin D. 25. Cao Kang 44. Ruan Yang 8. Morelatto 11. Balde R. 29. Zheng Haoqian
Substitutes
36. Chen Guoliang 33. Du Yuezheng 17. Fu Hao 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 12. Liao Lei 14. Li Ning 6. Pei Shuai 1. Wei Minzhe (G) 11. Zhang Yuan 28. Zhou Xin	9. Castillo R. 28. Gui Hong 7. Jiang Zilei 1. Li Huayang (G) 30. Li Xiangbin 5. Ma Sheng 36. Qiu Zhongyi 3. Wang Jie 33. Wang Song 2. Wei Lai 6. Yang Ming-Yang 34. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Xiang J.	Garcia de La Torre G. F.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Shenzhen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nantong Zhiyun is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nantong Zhiyun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shenzhen have a series of guest games.

In this match Nantong Zhiyun is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League
13.08.23	Dalian Pro - Shenzhen	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
05.08.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
28.07.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen	3:1 ✺
21.07.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLLLT
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
13.08.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
08.08.23	Zhejiang Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Changchun Yatai - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
19.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen	1:1

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