Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 13

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)


	Nantong Zhiyun		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.3
	1.95	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.97	3.69	3.8
	1.97	3.69	3.66
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.98	3.76	3.62	Watch
	1.93	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)	3.64 ↓ (3.76)	3.59 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
48.2%

Draw
25.7%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

23%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Chen Zhao (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 5. Ma Sheng 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin (C) 26. Ye Daochi 16. Puclin D. 25. Cao Kang 10. Kallon I. 7. Nzuzi Mata K. 9. Godinez J.	14. Shao Puliang (C) 13. Sun Qinhan 36. Yang Yun 3. Sunzu S. 32. Sun M. 16. Zheng Kaimu 18. Yao X. 8. Zhao Yingjie 7. Zheng Dalun 9. Heber 31. Solomon-Otabor V.
Substitutes
17. Ji Shengpan 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 15. Liu Wei 39. Liu Y. 38. Lu Yongtao 36. Qiu Zhongyi 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 23. Xue Qinghao (G) 29. Zheng Haoqian 11. Zimin Nuali	26. Guo Yunqi 29. Han Feng (G) 33. Hu Jiali 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 11. Tudi Dilyimit 15. Wang Peng 17. Wen Da 5. Yan Zihao
Coaches
Jurasovic M.	Zhao Junzhe

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Jiang Zilei 🟨,
41', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Yao X. ⚽, Zheng Dalun (A),
66', Nzuzi Mata K. ↓, Zimin Nuali ↑,
66', Jiang Zilei ↓, Liao Lei ↑,
68', Yao X. ↓, Hu Jiali ↑,
71', Ye Daochi ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
74', Sun Qinhan ↓, Wen Da ↑,
83', Hu Jiali 🟨,
84', Heber 🟨,
84', Heber ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
85', Cao Kang ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
85', Luo Xin ↓, Liu Wei ↑,
89', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
90+2', Shao Puliang 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Liu Wei ⚽,
90+5', Shao Puliang 🟨,
90+10', Zheng Dalun 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Nantong Zhiyun is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cangzhou has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Nantong Zhiyun have a series of guest games.

Nantong Zhiyun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
17.05.24	Zhejiang Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	5:2 ✺
10.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
30.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	3:1 ✺
26.04.24	Qingdao West Coast - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLW
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
17.05.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
12.05.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
01.05.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
26.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
29.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:2
30.04.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
Chinese Jia League
06.07.19	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:2
10.03.19	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1

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