The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen 27.5%
Draw 28.1%
Wuhan 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
23.9%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
23.5%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen's form might have worsened.
Wuhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuhan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+30.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (-25.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuhan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
11.1%
30.6%
Shenzhen - Wuhan Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). Wuhan will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen: 42.2% – 74.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), has project points - 21, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.
Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 2.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Recently Shenzhen have a series of home games.
Recently Wuhan have a series of guest games.
In this match Shenzhen is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-9.