Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2	3.6	3.4
	2.13	3.4	3.15
	2.18	3.49	3.35
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.11	3.52	3.2
	2.13	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	3.21 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen
44%

Draw
27%

Guangzhou Evergrande
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	10.3%	13.8%

Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), has project points - 21, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 1.

Shenzhen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shenzhen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen FC
Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.11.22	Shenzhen - Shanghai Port	0:3 ✺
08.11.22	Shenzhen - Dalian Pro	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Shenzhen - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.11.22	Dalian Pro - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
08.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Zhejiang Professional	1:5 ✺
04.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	3:3 ✺
29.10.22	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen	4:1
30.07.21	Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1
02.05.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen	2:0
09.09.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen	2:0
04.08.20	Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3
18.10.19	Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:3
26.05.19	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen	1:0

Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide