Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Suzhou Dongwu		Wuhan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4
	1.97	3.5	3.15
	1.74	4	3.87
	1.67	4	4.33
	1.63	3.9	4.35	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (6)	3.78 ↓ (4.93)	3.88 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
52.1%

Draw
24.3%

Wuhan
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

18.2%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

17.2%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+37.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suzhou Dongwu's performance.

Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-43.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-36.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suzhou Dongwu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+39.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suzhou Dongwu - Wuhan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Suzhou Dongwu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wuhan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wuhan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wuhan is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Beijing Sport University - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
03.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
26.10.22	Zibo Cuju - Suzhou Dongwu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWLW
- Wuhan FC
Chinese Super League
13.11.22	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	3:1 ✺
08.11.22	Wuhan - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Wuhan - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Dalian Pro - Wuhan	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLL

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