Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Xinhua Road Sports Center (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hubei Istar		Guangdong Mingtu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.60
	2.88	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.33	2.23
	2.51	3.13	2.71	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.19
	2.92	3.13	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.16)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.41 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
32.7%

Draw
29.1%

Guangdong Mingtu
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meng Derui (G) 13. Pan Jinglue 27. Zhang Yixuan 4. Sun Tianyu 3. Tang Xin 7. Guo Yi 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 30. Li Yubing 10. Wen Jialong 14. Zhang Chengji 21. Li B.	14. Li C. (G) 12. Chen Rijin (C) 28. Zhang Zhihao 22. Fang H. 36. Tan Zhennan 52. Zhong W. 17. Wang Tanyou 7. Gu Zhiwei 8. Tian Li 43. Zhu Xinyu 42. He J.
Substitutes
33. Hongxiang S. 59. Huang Bo 12. Lin F. 55. Liu Mingyu 57. Li X. 15. Nur Sherzat 19. Qu D. 9. Shan Huanhuan 23. Sun W. 16. Wei Deliang (G) 22. Xiang Yufei (G) 41. Yu Jingcheng	57. Chen W. 45. Li J. (G) 9. Li Ming 41. Li T. 21. Liu Shuai 2. Luo X. 33. Qu J. 10. Wen Y. 50. Wu Z. 11. Xin Hongjun 46. Yang Zhengyi 19. Ye Zimin
Coaches
Wan Houliang	Sanabria A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Zhang Chengji ↓, Qu D. ↑,
60', Zhang Zhihao ↓, Li T. ↑,
60', He J. ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
65', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Qu J. ↑,
67', Sanabria A. 🟨,
70', Li Yubing ↓, Nur Sherzat ↑,
78', Zhu Xinyu ↓, Ye Zimin ↑,
78', Tan Zhennan ↓, Liu Shuai ↑,
81', Wen Jialong ↓, Sun W. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Hubei Istar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guangdong Mingtu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
26.07.26	Hubei Istar - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Hubei Istar	4:4 ✺
27.06.26	Hubei Istar - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Xiamen Feilu - Hubei Istar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWTWT
- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
27.07.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Chengdu Rongcheng B	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Shenzhen	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangdong Mingtu	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Xiamen Feilu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
10.05.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar	1:2
25.10.25	Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu	2:1
20.09.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar	0:1

Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide