Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Juniors		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.50	4.20
	1.95	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2	3.49	3.66
	1.73	3.74	4.49	Watch
	1.97	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.4	3.81	Watch
	1.96	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.71)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	3.77 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
48.9%

Draw
26.6%

Dingnan United
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United Predictions

Users Predictions: Shenzhen Juniors will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shenzhen Juniors will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liu Haoran (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 20. Dugalic R. (C) 14. Huang Jiajun 2. Chen Yuhao 25. Rodrigo Henrique 21. Chen Y. 33. Zhao Yingjie 42. Wang Z. 19. Su Yuliang 11. Huang K.	1. Du Jia (G) 23. Du Junpeng 27. Wang Sihan 4. Daciel 16. Li Zhi 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 21. Hu Jiajin 8. Zhang Zimin 18. Fan Bojian (C) 9. Ma Chenghao 11. Erikys
Substitutes
23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 31. Chen Zirong (G) 30. Gan Xianhao 9. Garita A. 17. Hu Ming 24. Leung Nok-Hang 28. Liu Xiaolong 37. Shang Yin 18. Shi Yucheng 6. Zhong Haoran 16. Zhou Xin 32. Zhu G.	28. Cheng Yetong 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 7. Palacios M. 37. Petrov M. 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 3. Zhu Mingxin
Coaches
Amarelle R.	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Erikys ⚽, Du Junpeng (A),
21', 0 - 2, Zhang Zimin ⚽, Du Junpeng (A),
41', Du Jia ↓, Xiao Yuanming ↑,
45+1', Zhong Haoran 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Wang Z. ↓, Shang Yin ↑,
46', Su Yuliang ↓, Garita A. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Dugalic R. ⚽, Zhao Yingjie (A),
58', Fan Bojian ↓, Gao S. ↑,
58', Ma Chenghao ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Dugalic R. ⚽, Zhao Yingjie (A),
64', 2 - 3, Erikys ⚽, Hu Jiajin (A),
70', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
70', Hu Jiajin ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
72', Sun Qinhan ↓, Zhu G. ↑,
72', Chen Y. ↓, Gan Xianhao ↑,
72', Huang K. ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
73', Hao Yucheng 🟨,
78', 3 - 3, Garita A. ⚽,
90+5', Huang Jiajun 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 11).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shenzhen Juniors is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Shenzhen Juniors	25	12	8	5	40:29	11	44
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	5:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Shenzhen Peng City	1:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
29.05.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTT
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Dingnan United - Wuxi Wugou	3:3 ✺
13.06.26	Dingnan United - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dingnan United	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
01.11.25	Dingnan United - Shenzhen Juniors	1:1
28.06.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United	1:1

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