Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)

Referee: Cheng W. (Chn)


	Shenzhen Juniors		Hunan Billows

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.5
				Watch
	1.65	3.46	4.58
	1.65	3.46	4.58
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.62	3.68	4.81
	1.64	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.41)	3.53 ↑ (3)	4.46 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
54.2%

Draw
25.6%

Hunan Billows
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

32.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.

Hunan Billows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hunan Billows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hunan Billows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Wang Shihan (G) 8. Ke Yuan 16. Zhou Xin 33. Liu S. 29. Lin Zefeng 18. Shi Yucheng 6. Liang Rifu 59. Wen Y. 15. Chen Weiqi 9. Zhuang Jiajie 30. Ezmat M.	28. Dong Jianhong (G) 15. Lin Jinghao 6. Chen Ao 5. Jiang Zhe 3. Chen Fangzhou 27. Zu Pengchao 23. Liao Haochuan 16. Liu Jing 25. Li Chenguang 45. Lu Y. 32. Wang B.
Substitutes
21. Chen Y. 4. Gao K. 23. Li Bin 3. Liu Zejun 28. Li Yingjian 24. Li Yuyang 1. Long Wenhao (G) 11. Lu J. 26. Mai Sijing 20. Men Yang 56. Wang Jiakun 55. Wen Ruijie	9. Gao Mingqi 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 2. Hu Yongfa 60. Lei Lin (G) 17. Liao Wei 19. Liu Xinyu 21. Lu Yuefeng 18. Sun Zewen 22. Tursun Qeyser 46. Wei Z. 57. Yu Haozhen
Coaches
Zhang Jun	Teng Renjun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Jiang Zhe (Pen),
12', 0 - 2, Li Chenguang ⚽, Zu Pengchao (A),
23', Ke Yuan ↓, Li Bin ↑,
32', Jiang Zhe 🟨,
38', Dong Jianhong 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ezmat M. ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
46', Chen Weiqi ↓, Men Yang ↑,
46', Wen Y. ↓, Gao K. ↑,
58', Zu Pengchao ↓, Liao Wei ↑,
58', Lin Jinghao ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Liao Wei ⚽, Liu Xinyu (A),
65', Li Bin 🟨,
74', Chen Ao ↓, Lu Yuefeng ↑,
74', Lu Y. ↓, Wei Z. ↑,
77', Wei Z. 🟨,
80', Liang Rifu ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
81', Liu Jing ↓, Gao Mingqi ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Men Yang ⚽, Gao K. (A),
88', 2 - 3, Shi Yucheng ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, Lin Zefeng ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Kunming City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:4 ✺
04.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 ✺
16.04.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWW
- Hunan Billows
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hunan Billows - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
Chinese Yi League
12.05.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kunming City - Hunan Billows	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Hunan Billows - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Hunan Billows	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW

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