Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Loudi Sports Center (Loudi)


	Hunan Billows		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.31
	7.6	4.9	1.31
	6.72	4.9	1.32
	8	4.75	1.29
	8.45	4.95	1.32	Watch
	8.4	4.8	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.78 ↑ (4.89)	4.84 ↑ (3.5)	1.31 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunan Billows
11.7%

Draw
18.8%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

26%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

27%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunan Billows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hunan Billows's form might have worsened.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shijiazhuang Gongfu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hunan Billows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hunan Billows - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 1, Wang Song ⚽,
65', 0 - 2, Gui Hong ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Bu Xin (Pen),

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Shijiazhuang Gongfu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
12.05.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kunming City - Hunan Billows	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Hunan Billows - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Hunan Billows	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL

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