The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen Juniors 64.2%
Draw 21.1%
Qingdao Red Lions 14.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.5%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
20.4%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.
Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Red Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Chen Zirong (G) 33. Tian Yifan 14. Huang Jiajun 16. Zhou Xin 27. Zhao S. 18. Shi Yucheng 5. Marcic M. 10. Xie Baoxian (C) 36. Lin F. 9. Nzuzi Mata K. 17. Hu Ming
1. Zhu Quan (G) 2. Song Bowei 16. Zhang Yixuan 25. Pan Kui 44. Wu Junhao 40. Pi Ziyang 7. Nobrega J. 36. Lu K. 8. Jia Xiaochen (C) 10. Leandro Alves 39. Yao Xuchen
Substitutes
3. Benhaddouche C. 23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 21. Chen Y. 7. Han Guanghui 6. Liang Rifu 29. Lin Zefeng 28. Li Yingjian 11. Lu J. 26. Mai Sijing 38. Nouble J. 19. Su Yuliang 35. Zeng Y.
37. Chen Hao-Wei 15. Hao Yucheng 3. Jiang Y. 5. Liu Pujin 32. Liu Shibo (G) 19. Ren Lihao 9. Rivaldinho 33. Shi Zhe 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi
Coaches
Li C.
Wang X.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hu Ming (Pen),
25', Lin F. 🟨,
28', Yao Xuchen 🟨,
38', Hu Ming ↓, Lu J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
46', Pi Ziyang ↓, Chen Hao-Wei ↑,
55', Nzuzi Mata K. 🟨,
60', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Rivaldinho ↑,
62', Tian Yifan ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
62', Lin F. ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Lu J. ⚽, Benhaddouche C. (A),
74', Leandro Alves 🟨,
74', Zhou Xin 🟨,
75', Lu K. ↓, Zheng Haokun ↑,
79', Xie Baoxian ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
83', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Jiang Y. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Zheng Haokun ⚽, Zhou Jianyi (A),
89', Zhao S. 🟨,
90+1', Shi Yucheng ↓, Han Guanghui ↑,
90+1', Zhao S. ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
90+3', Nobrega J. ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Qingdao Red Lions is Relegated to League Two
Shenzhen Juniors has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Qingdao Red Lions is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Shenzhen Juniors is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
China
Watch
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Chen Zirong (G) 
Marcic M. 
Nzuzi Mata K. 
Nobrega J. 
Leandro Alves 
Benhaddouche C. 
Nouble J. 
Chen Hao-Wei 
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