Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday


	Shenzhen Peng City		Beijing Sport University

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	5.75	13
	1.14	6.5	13
	1.17	5.8	12
	1.15	7.56	20.62
	1.15	5.8	15
	1.16	6.75	14.75
	1.18	6.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.4)	6.34 ↑ (4.03)	14.48 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
79.1%

Draw
14.5%

Beijing Sport University
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

22.6%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

13%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.

Beijing Sport University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Sport University might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-41.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Sport University than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Sport University could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Sport University Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Beijing Sport Uni will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beijing Sport University has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sichuan Jiuniu is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sichuan Jiuniu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
29.09.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
19.09.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu	0:2 ✺
15.09.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
11.09.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Beijing Sport University FC
Chinese Jia League
28.09.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Sport University	3:0 ✺
24.09.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Beijing Sport University	1:1 ✺
19.09.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Sport University	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Beijing Sport University - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
12.09.22	Beijing Sport University - Qingdao Hainiu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
21.08.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Sport University	4:2
Chinese Jia League
11.12.21	Beijing Sport University - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2
27.11.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Sport University	1:1

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