Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 30

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Bao'an Stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Shenzhen Peng City		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
	1.31	5	8
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.34	5.18	8.5
	1.35	4.92	8.42	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.35	5.1	9.05	Watch
	1.33	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)	5 ↓ (5.1)	8.62 ↓ (8.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
70.4%

Draw
18.7%

Nantong Zhiyun
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

18.5%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

16.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: Shenzhen Peng City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Zhao Shi (C) 21. Nan Song 15. Yu Rui 20. Dugalic R. 5. Song Yue 23. Dai Wai-Tsun 36. Kartsev E. 11. Garcia E. 16. Li Zhi 19. Orr M. 12. Tiago Leonco	23. Xue Qinghao (G) 25. Cao Kang 20. Anthony I. 15. Liu Wei (C) 18. Jiang Zilei 30. Rosa F. 6. Yang Ming-Yang 5. Ma Sheng 29. Zheng Haoqian 10. Kallon I. 37. Jia B.
Substitutes
27. Abduweli Behram 31. Ependi N. 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 25. Hu Ruibao 6. Lin Chuangyi 13. Peng Peng (G) 44. Ruan Yang 3. Tian Yinong 4. Wang Qiao 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 8. Zhou Dadi 33. Zhu Baojie	9. Godinez J. 17. Ji Shengpan 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 34. Luo Xin 38. Lu Yongtao 36. Qiu Zhongyi 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 26. Ye Daochi 44. Yuye Z.
Coaches
Lattanzio C.	Patricio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Jia B. ⚽, Kallon I. (A),
28', Cao Kang 🟨,
29', Kartsev E. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Orr M. ⚽,
45+2', Song Yue 🟨,
45+3', Liu Wei 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Kartsev E. ⚽,
45+4', Wang Jie 🟥,
45+5', Zhao Shi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Song Yue ↓, Hu Ruibao ↑,
57', Nan Song 🟨,
63', Jiang Zilei ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
63', Jia B. ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
64', Nan Song ↓, Wang Qiao ↑,
81', Orr M. ↓, Zhu Baojie ↑,
81', Dai Wai-Tsun ↓, Tian Yinong ↑,
82', Cao Kang ↓, Luo Xin ↑,
90', Kallon I. 🟨,
90+6', Yu Rui 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Nantong Zhiyun is Relegated to Jia League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 1.

Shenzhen Peng City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nantong Zhiyun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Shenzhen Peng City is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
27.10.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:4 ✺
22.09.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shenzhen Peng City	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLLL
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
27.10.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Beijing Guoan	1:3 ✺
20.10.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Zhejiang Professional	3:2 ✺
22.09.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Changchun Yatai - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
14.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1
Chinese Jia League
29.09.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1
11.09.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0
18.12.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0
04.12.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2
11.10.20	Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2
23.09.20	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1

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