The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen Peng City 49.7%
Draw 25.6%
Qingdao Hainiu 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.1%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.
Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 50.6% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Peng Peng (G) 2. Tian Yifan 15. Yu Rui 46. Shen H. 14. Li Long 36. Kartsev E. 8. Chow T. 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 10. Dai Wai-Tsun 11. Ademi A. 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
28. Mu Pengfei (G) 17. Wang Qiao 4. Jin Yangyang 26. Andjelkovic N. (C) 29. Li Suda 6. Edjouma M. 31. Luo Senwen 7. Yeboah Y. 8. Lin Chuangyi 34. Jin Yonghao 11. El Messaoudi A.
Substitutes
34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 37. Hu Jiajin 5. Hu Ruibao 4. Jiang Zhipeng 1. Ji J. (G) 21. Nan Song 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 23. Yang Yiming 54. Yao J. 6. Yao Junsheng 12. Zhang Xiaobin
30. Che Shiwei 43. Jappar M. (G) 16. Li Hailong 1. Liu Jun (G) 3. Liu Junshuai 9. Liu Xinyu 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 23. Song Long 19. Song Wenjie 14. Sun Zheng'ao 18. Wu Xingyu 22. Yang Cong
Coaches
Chen Tao
Ristic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Owusu-Sekyere D. (A),
32', Andjelkovic N. 🟨,
44', Kartsev E. ↓, Yao Junsheng ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Jin Yangyang ↓, Liu Junshuai ↑,
59', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
59', Tian Yifan 🟨,
60', Yeboah Y. 🟥,
60', Yao Junsheng 🟨,
63', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽,
72', Chow T. ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
73', Shen H. ↓, Hu Ruibao ↑,
73', Tian Yifan ↓, Jiang Zhipeng ↑,
74', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Yang Cong ↑,
75', Luo Senwen ↓, Sun Zheng'ao ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Yang Cong ⚽,
83', Jin Yonghao ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
90+2', Ademi A. ↓, Yao J. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Dai Wai-Tsun (A),
90+7', 3 - 2, Edjouma M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Shenzhen Peng City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F.
(Inactive)
Zhang Yujie
(Injury)
There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Strandberg C.
(Injury)
Wei Zixian
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
26
8
4
14
34:45
-11
28
16
Qingdao Hainiu
26
6
3
17
34:53
-19
14
Last Results with these Odds
Qingdao Hainiu - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.