The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen Peng City 20.9%
Draw 23.8%
Shandong Taishan 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
26.7%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
26.3%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shandong Taishan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shandong Taishan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Peng Peng (G) 20. Xuan Z. 23. Yang Yiming 5. Hu Ruibao 46. Shen H. 12. Zhang Xiaobin 10. Dai Wai-Tsun 8. Chow T. 6. Yao Junsheng 4. Jiang Zhipeng (C) 7. Wesley Moraes
14. Wang Dalei (C) 7. Xie Wenneng 23. Alvaro P. 33. Gao Zhunyi 11. Liu Yang 37. Chen Zeshi 35. Huang Zhengyu 22. Li Y. 9. Cryzan 19. Zeca 10. Qazaishvili V.
Substitutes
34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 37. Hu Jiajin 1. Ji J. (G) 36. Kartsev E. 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 54. Yao J.
29. Chen Pu 24. Duan Liuyu 21. Liu Binbin 36. Liu Qiwei (G) 38. Memet Imran 17. Merkies R. 3. Peng Xiao 42. Peng Y. 15. Shi Songchen 6. Wang Tong 2. Yang Ruiqi 1. Yu Jinyong (G)
Coaches
Chen Tao
Su Maozhen
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Yang Yiming 🟨,
43', Alvaro P. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Cryzan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Li Y. 🟨,
62', Dai Wai-Tsun ↓, Owusu-Sekyere D. ↑,
67', Li Y. ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
74', Chen Zeshi ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Cryzan ⚽, Xie Wenneng (A),
79', Shen H. ↓, Li Long ↑,
79', Yao Junsheng ↓, Kartsev E. ↑,
83', Chow T. ↓, Yao J. ↑,
83', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Xia Dalong ↑,
85', Xie Wenneng ↓, Wang Tong ↑,
85', Li Long 🟨,
90', Gao Zhunyi 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Hu Ruibao ⚽, Owusu-Sekyere D. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
Recent form of Shenzhen Peng City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shandong Taishan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Shandong Taishan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Ademi A.
(Injury)
Benkovic F.
(Yellow Cards)
Zhang Yujie
(Injury)
There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Guilherme Madruga
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F.
(Injury)
Jiang Zhipeng
(Injury)
Shen H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Shandong Taishan: Gao Zhunyi
(Injury)
Merkies R.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 1:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
China
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Peng Peng (G) 
Chow T. 
Wesley Moraes 
Alvaro P. 
Qazaishvili V. 
Kartsev E. 
Owusu-Sekyere D. 
Merkies R. 
