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Current Win Probability
Sheriff Tiraspol 24.2%
Draw 28.2%
Braga 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
27.6%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheriff Tiraspol's form might have worsened.
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.8%
17.8%
64.4%
Sheriff Tiraspol - Braga Predictions
Users Predictions:
135 users predict this event. Sheriff will win (votes: 24 - 17.8%). Braga will win (votes: 87 - 64.4%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 17.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 56.3% – 72.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
1st leg.
Sheriff has a chance of round of 16 (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Braga has a good chance of round of 16 (78%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality55, small importance13, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Braga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.