Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Portugal	Sport TV2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Braga		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.7	7.9	Watch
	1.39	4.88	8.69
	1.40	4.71	7.64	Watch
	1.43	4.72	8.35	Watch
	1.43	4.5	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	4.71 (4.71)	7.97 ↑ (7.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga
68%

Draw
20.1%

Moreirense
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Braga - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 4. Niakate S. 14. Lagerbielke G. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 20. Dorgeles M. 29. Gorby 8. Moutinho J. 5. Lelo L. 10. Zalazar R. 39. Navarro F. 21. Horta R. (C)	13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 20. Bernardo 8. Stjepanovic M. 11. Alanzinho 2. Travassos 95. Guilherme Schettine (C) 78. Landerson
Substitutes
36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 9. El Ouazzani A. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 2. Gomez V. 27. Grillitsch F. 77. Martinez G. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 18. Victor P.	22. Caio (G) 30. Gower J. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 17. Martinez A. 3. Michel 21. Rodri 9. Semedo L. 15. Sousa V. 7. Teguia C.
Coaches
Vicens C.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. (Pen),
20', Navarro F. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lelo L. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
49', Arrey-Mbi B. 🟨,
66', Dorgeles M. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
67', Moutinho J. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
67', Stjepanovic M. ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
67', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
68', Pinto D. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Horta R. ⚽,
77', Bernardo ↓, Rodri ↑,
77', Landerson ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Maracas ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
83', Zalazar R. 🟨,
83', Zalazar R. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
86', Batista G. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
88', Alanzinho 🟨,
88', Hornicek L. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Braga has had a series of home games.

In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Moreirense: Marcelo (Yellow Cards) Teguia C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Moreirense: Kiko Bondoso (Inactive) Ofori L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Braga - Genk	3:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.11.25	Porto - Braga	2:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.25	Braga - Santa Clara	5:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
26.10.25	Braga - Casa Pia	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
02.11.25	Arouca - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Moreirense - Porto	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Fafe - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.10.25	Nacional - Moreirense	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Moreirense - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
03.02.25	Moreirense - Braga	1:2
25.08.24	Braga - Moreirense	3:1
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Braga - Moreirense	0:2
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Braga - Moreirense	1:0
09.09.23	Moreirense - Braga	2:3
Taça de Portugal
10.11.22	Braga - Moreirense	2:1
Liga Portugal
30.01.22	Braga - Moreirense	2:0

Upcoming Matches