Match Info

Super Liga - Round 5

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Sheriff Arena (Tiraspol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sheriff Tiraspol		Milsami Orhei

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.05	6.3	Watch
	1.41	4.08	6.33
	1.43	4.13	6.53	Watch
	1.39	4	6.25
	1.49	4.13	5.94	Watch
	1.42	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	4.06 ↓ (4.39)	6.26 ↓ (8.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheriff Tiraspol
63.3%

Draw
22.3%

Milsami Orhei
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20.8%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.7%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheriff Tiraspol's form might have worsened.

Milsami Orhei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sheriff will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Timbur E. (G) 15. Ciss B. 27. Cozma V. 35. Fomba B. (C) 24. Forov D. 7. Fratea V. 26. Klas D. 99. Kone S. 37. Modelo J. 2. Ouedraogo M. 76. Pergjoni A.	31. Dujmovic F. (G) 4. Angelov A. 29. Asmelash H. 17. Bulmaga L. 11. Chele S. 33. Fonkeu W. 21. Izountouemoi S. 5. Nwaeze C. 14. Odubia P. 15. Sirbu D. 30. Takyi F.
Substitutes
32. Afetse E. 28. Cebotari N. (G) 55. Ciumasu V. 70. Ivanov E. 42. Jaures-Ulrich L. 29. Magassouba S. 22. Mota 17. Nihaev V. 6. Rai 11. Sapata 4. Swen N.	1. Ciochina C. 34. Decio Neto 10. Ginsari R. 20. Igor Souza 27. Keita S. 13. Luchita V. 2. Posmac V. 7. Silcenco C. 35. Vornic D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheriff won 2.

Sheriff is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Milsami has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Milsami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sheriff is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sheriff won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheriff won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	13	8	4	1	32:10	22	28
5	Milsami	13	4	5	4	13:17	-4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheriff Tiraspol
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:5 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
19.07.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
12.07.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zimbru Chişinău	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.07.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWT
- Milsami Orhei
Moldovan Super Liga
19.07.26	Milsami Orhei - Bălți	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Milsami Orhei - Velež Mostar	0:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
12.07.26	Milsami Orhei - Dacia Buiucani	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Velež Mostar - Milsami Orhei	1:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
04.07.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Milsami Orhei	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
17.05.26	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0
11.04.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	3:1
26.10.25	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:0
24.08.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	1:1
05.07.25	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:2
Moldovan Cup
24.05.25	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:2
Moldovan Super Liga
18.05.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	0:0

Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide