Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Sheriff Arena (Tiraspol)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sheriff Tiraspol		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	8.50	Watch
	1.33	5.25	9.25
	1.30	5.00	9.50	Watch
	1.38	5.00	12.06
	1.3	5.25	9.73	Watch
	1.36	3.85	11.00
	1.36	4.25	10.50	Watch
	1.31	4.80	9.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)	4.77 ↑ (4.14)	9.97 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheriff Tiraspol
70.7%

Draw
19.8%

Aluminij Kidricevo
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.5%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

21.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheriff Tiraspol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheriff Tiraspol's performance.

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Sheriff Tiraspol - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheriff Tiraspol will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sheriff Tiraspol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dyulgerov I. (G) 22. Mota 15. Ciss B. 35. Fomba B. 76. Pergjoni A. 99. Kone S. 26. Klas D. 6. Rai (C) 24. Forov D. 19. Asprilla Moreno J. 42. Jaures-Ulrich L.	31. Raduha F. (G) 6. Simunic D. 5. Boben M. 4. Schaubach R. 42. Koderman V. 13. Vrbanec M. 14. Jagic T. (C) 7. Taylor E. 32. Tezak V. 25. Bajraj M. 45. Susso B.
Substitutes
27. Cozma V. 30. Egupov A. 7. Fratea V. 70. Ivanov E. 12. Josan R. (G) 9. Lupascu V. 37. Modelo J. 17. Nihaev V. 11. Sapata 4. Swen N. 1. Timbur E. (G) 10. Ze Flores	27. Blazic M. 9. Bloudek A. 21. Drevensek L. 23. Kramberger E. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 11. Osuji B. 77. Pejic J. 44. Petrisko B. 18. Rogina S. 16. Seliga L. (G) 80. Sorensen H. 33. Zajsek D.
Coaches
Mihailov V.	Arsic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vrbanec M. 🟨,
48', Fomba B. 🟨,
61', Bajraj M. ↓, Osuji B. ↑,
68', Klas D. ↓, Fratea V. ↑,
68', Jaures-Ulrich L. ↓, Sapata ↑,
77', Koderman V. ↓, Sorensen H. ↑,
78', Jagic T. ↓, Petrisko B. ↑,
81', Mota ↓, Ze Flores ↑,
87', Tezak V. ↓, Zajsek D. ↑,
90+2', Ze Flores 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Sheriff is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aluminij has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aluminij may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aluminij has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sheriff is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Sheriff will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
04.07.26	Politehnica UTM - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
Moldovan Cup
23.05.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zimbru Chişinău	2:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
17.05.26	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
Moldovan Cup
13.05.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
10.05.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zimbru Chişinău	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTWW
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Partizan	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Noah Yerevan	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Pyunik	2:2 ✺
23.06.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Universitatea Cluj	Canceled ✺
19.06.26	Rače - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLT?T

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