Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:30	Migu


	Nanjing City		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.80	2.85
	2.50	2.75	2.90	Watch
	2.44	2.88	3.37
	2.12	3.35	3.34	Watch
	2.40	2.75	3.30
	2.54	3.01	2.90	Watch
	2.33	2.85	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.23)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)	3.11 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
38.7%

Draw
31.7%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Yang Chao (G) 18. Dong Honglin 2. Wang Xijie 15. Tayir Shewketjan 16. Yang He (C) 5. Wong W. 8. Yang Dejiang 11. Hu Rentian 14. Qurban W. 25. Bruno Baio 9. Ze Vitor	13. Li Xuebo (G) 12. Song Haoyu 36. Yang Yun (C) 5. Niu Ziyi 27. Hakimhan Ernar 18. Zheng Zhiyun 9. Guo Lingzi 10. Vidal H. 8. Du Zhixuan 7. Conraad T. 31. Dominic Vinicius
Substitutes
29. Fu Shang 23. Hu Jinghang 20. Liu Le 19. Ma Fuyu 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 4. Zhao Chengle 27. Zheng Xuejian 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen	38. Chen Hao-Wei 14. Jiayi X. 25. Kurban I. 3. Li Jingrun 39. Liu B. 33. Li Y. (G) 19. Li Ya'nan (G) 26. Ma Junliang 29. Shan P. 15. Zhao C. 6. Zhao Shuhao 30. Zhou Wenhao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Hu Rentian 🟨,
29', Wong W. 🟨,
39', Yang Dejiang 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yang He ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
46', Wong W. ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
54', Dong Honglin 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽, Wang Xijie (A),
66', Du Zhixuan 🟨,
67', Bruno Baio ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
71', Du Zhixuan ↓, Zhou Wenhao ↑,
71', Vidal H. ↓, Ma Junliang ↑,
71', Guo Lingzi ↓, Zhao C. ↑,
76', Yang Dejiang ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
82', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
89', Conraad T. ↓, Chen Hao-Wei ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 0.

Nanjing City has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nanjing City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Nanjing City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Nanjing City has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:13 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nanjing City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	28	10	8	10	26:28	-2	38
13	Nanjing City	28	7	7	14	27:39	-12	28

Last Results with these Odds

Nanjing City - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
11.10.26	Ningbo Professional - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
07.10.26	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Union	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
10.10.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
06.10.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:1
05.10.25	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3
25.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:0
05.10.24	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
25.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	3:1
16.09.23	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
11.06.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	0:2

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