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Current Win Probability
Nanjing City 43.2%
Draw 28.7%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
28.1%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
27.3%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shijiazhuang Gongfu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shijiazhuang Gongfu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (C) 24. Du Junpeng 18. Dong Honglin 17. Fu Yuncheng 42. Lupeta J. 38. Zhang Hui 5. Isic T. 16. Ding Yunfeng 31. Zhu Qiwen 10. Ogbu M. 39. Yu Menghui
13. Li Xuebo (C) 25. Kurban I. 36. Yang Yun 19. Liu H. 14. Ma Chongchong 17. Sun Weizhe 42. Feng Zhuoyi 20. Liu Le 2. Deng Jiajie 44. Gonzalez E. 8. Ayovi J.
Substitutes
30. An Bang 7. Guo Yi 34. Horqinhuu H. 11. Hu Rentian 45. Ji Xiang 3. Li Mingfan 9. Ling Jie 19. Ma Fuyu 22. Meng Zhen 28. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 36. Yuan H.
10. An Yifei 18. Du Zhixuan 27. Gao Huaze 28. Li Jingrun 5. Liu Y. 7. Liu Ziming 31. Luan Yi (G) 1. Nie Xuran (G) 29. Wang Jingbin 24. Yu Joy-yin 21. Zhan Sainan 45. Zhao Z.
Coaches
Zhang X.
Hongli N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Ogbu M. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Lupeta J. (Pen),
18', Ogbu M. 🟨,
23', Dong Honglin 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Kurban I. ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sun Weizhe ↓, Yu Joy-yin ↑,
46', Deng Jiajie ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
46', Li Xuebo ↓, Luan Yi ↑,
65', Liu Le ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
67', Liu H. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Ayovi J. ⚽,
72', Zhang Hui ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
73', Ding Yunfeng ↓, Meng Zhen ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Wang Jingbin ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
80', Gonzalez E. ↓, Du Zhixuan ↑,
81', Zhu Qiwen ↓, An Bang ↑,
81', Lupeta J. ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
89', Kurban I. ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
90+3', Isic T. ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
90+5', Ji Xiang 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
China
Watch
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Qi Yuxi (C) 
Lupeta J. 
Isic T. 
Ogbu M. 
Gonzalez E. 
Ayovi J. 
Yu Joy-yin 
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