Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Meizhou Hakka		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.25	1.93
	2.85	3.15	2.22	Watch
	2.97	3.34	2.3
	2.98	3.37	2.29	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.2
	2.93	3.15	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (1.88)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	2.2 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
30.6%

Draw
28%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meizhou Hakka's form might have worsened.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shijiazhuang Gongfu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Meizhou Hakka - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 22. Liao J. 29. Sun Xiaobin 5. Pellenard T. 20. Wen Z. 13. Lai J. 24. Sakhi H. 32. Wen Q. 25. Li Jiarun 16. Yang Chaosheng (C) 10. Triboulet V.	13. Li Xuebo (G) 12. Song Haoyu 36. Yang Yun (C) 5. Niu Ziyi 27. Hakimhan Ernar 18. Zheng Zhiyun 10. Vidal H. 28. Zhang Yudong 26. Ma Junliang 7. Conraad T. 31. Dominic Vinicius
Substitutes
3. Liang Jiahao 28. Li Weijia 15. Luo H. 45. Su Jiale 30. Wang H. (G) 6. Wang Haoran 1. Wang Zehao (G) 17. Yang Yihu 27. Zhang Enqi 34. Zhang J. 33. Zhu Baojie	38. Chen Hao-Wei 8. Du Zhixuan 9. Guo Lingzi 39. Liu B. 33. Li Y. (G) 19. Li Ya'nan (G) 4. Pan Kui 29. Shan P. 17. Sun Weizhe 15. Zhao C. 6. Zhao Shuhao 30. Zhou Wenhao
Coaches
Zhu Jiong	Tato J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Vidal H. ↓, Du Zhixuan ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
58', Du Zhixuan 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Yang Chaosheng ⚽, Sakhi H. (A),
61', 1 - 1, Zhang Yudong ⚽, Ma Junliang (A),
67', 1 - 2, Dominic Vinicius ⚽, Zhao Shuhao (A),
68', Lai J. ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
68', Wen Q. ↓, Zhu Baojie ↑,
77', Ma Junliang ↓, Guo Lingzi ↑,
80', Li Xuebo 🟨,
85', Conraad T. ↓, Zhao C. ↑,
90+4', Zhao Shuhao 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 3, Guo Lingzi ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation ~ League Two and 10th).

Recent results have been tough for Meizhou Hakka (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Meizhou Hakka has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 3.5:1 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
14	Meizhou Hakka	25	7	4	14	25:50	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Jia League
13.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Meizhou Hakka	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Meizhou Hakka - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
13.09.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
24.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Meizhou Hakka	2:6

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