Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.90	2.40
	2.98	2.78	2.4	Watch
	3.38	2.79	2.64
	2.93	3	2.54	Watch
	3.3	2.5	2.6
	3.24	2.83	2.46	Watch
	3	2.8	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	2.8 ↓ (3)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
30%

Draw
33%

Nanjing City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Li Ya'nan (G) 16. Xu Yougang 29. Shan P. 8. Du Zhixuan 5. Niu Ziyi 18. Zheng Zhiyun 30. Zhou Wenhao 10. Vidal H. 28. Zhang Yudong (C) 7. Conraad T. 15. Zhao C.	21. Xi Anjie (G) 4. Zhao Chengle 7. Robertinho 22. Meng Zhen 29. Fu Shang 39. Yu Menghui 11. Hu Rentian 20. Liu Le (C) 9. Ze Vitor 2. Wang Xijie 10. Ngom Mbekeli J.
Substitutes
9. Guo Lingzi 27. Hakimhan Ernar 11. Han Dong 25. Kurban I. 39. Liu B. 13. Li Xuebo (G) 33. Li Y. (G) 4. Pan Kui 17. Sun Weizhe 36. Yang Yun 6. Zhao Shuhao 45. Zhao Z.	17. An Bang 18. Dong Honglin 23. Hu Jinghang 19. Ma Fuyu 30. Wei Minghe 5. Wong W. 33. Xiang Rongjun 26. Yang Chao (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Tato J.	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Conraad T. 🟨,
33', Li Ya'nan 🟨,
33', Ze Vitor 🟨,
37', Zhao Chengle 🟥,
42', Fu Shang 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Vidal H. ⚽, Zhao C. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Xu Yougang ↓, Yang Yun ↑,
59', Zhou Wenhao ↓, Guo Lingzi ↑,
59', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
61', Fu Shang ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
61', Hu Rentian ↓, Dong Honglin ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Yang Yun ⚽, Vidal H. (A),
71', Yang Yun 🟨,
75', Zhao C. ↓, Liu B. ↑,
75', Vidal H. ↓, Pan Kui ↑,
81', Liu Le ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
81', Robertinho ↓, An Bang ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nanjing City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Dalian Kun City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Guizhou Xufengtang - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
13.06.26	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
09.05.26	Nanjing City - Meizhou Hakka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.10.25	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3
25.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:0
05.10.24	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
25.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	3:1
16.09.23	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
11.06.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	0:2
07.12.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	1:3

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