Match Info

League One - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.50
	2.02	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.17	2.94	3.88
	2.26	2.7	3.91	Watch
	2.10	2.70	3.60
	2.13	3.01	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
43.3%

Draw
32.1%

Suzhou Dongwu
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shijiazhuang Gongfu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Li Xuebo (G) 16. Xu Yougang 29. Shan P. 5. Niu Ziyi 18. Zheng Zhiyun 9. Guo Lingzi 8. Du Zhixuan 10. Vidal H. 28. Zhang Yudong (C) 7. Conraad T. 39. Liu B.	37. Askhan (G) 2. Song Bowei 45. Mijit M. 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 42. Arafat Ghenifa 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 20. Chen Rong 30. He Haohan 9. Ali M.
Substitutes
27. Hakimhan Ernar 11. Han Dong 25. Kurban I. 33. Li Y. (G) 19. Li Ya'nan (G) 4. Pan Kui 17. Sun Weizhe 36. Yang Yun 15. Zhao C. 6. Zhao Shuhao 45. Zhao Z. 30. Zhou Wenhao	11. Gong Yunyang 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 33. Liu Jiqiang 18. Tai Jianfeng 39. Tian Jiahao 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 36. Yuan J. 24. Zhang Jiansheng
Coaches
Tato J.	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', He Haohan 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Du Zhixuan ⚽,
45', Zhao S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Chen Rong ⚽,
73', Xu Yougang 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2.

Recent form of Shijiazhuang Gongfu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27

Last Results with these Odds

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
30.05.26	Dalian Kun City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Guizhou Xufengtang - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLL
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
30.05.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Shaanxi Union	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.08.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1
03.11.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0
29.06.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0
05.11.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	3:0
22.07.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1
30.06.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0

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