Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 26

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Hapoel Azor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.67	3.39	4.42
	1.7	3.57	4.52	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.47
	1.67	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.22)	3.49 ↑ (3)	4.52 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
53.9%

Draw
26%

Hapoel Azor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimshon Tel Aviv's performance.

Hapoel Azor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Azor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimshon Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Azor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Azor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, Sapir S. (Pen),
80', 1 - 1, Rahamim A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

Recent matches Shimshon Tel Aviv is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Azor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shimshon Tel Aviv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shimshon Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Shimshon Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	2:4 ✺
07.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Dimona - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWTT
- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.02.25	Hapoel Azor - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:2 ✺
14.02.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Yavne	0:0 ✺
30.01.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Azor - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.11.24	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
04.02.22	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	4:1
08.10.21	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Azor	0:2

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