Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 6

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Streltsov D. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	2.43	3.43	2.78
	2.45	3.24	2.8	Watch
	2.31	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.16)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)	2.81 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
38.7%

Draw
28.3%

Kuban Krasnodar
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Dovbnya A. (G) 92. Emeljanov R. 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 19. Rubtsov I. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 8. Samsonov A. 13. Semenov A. 17. Shadrintsev D. 10. Sokolov I. 5. Zinkov V.	1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 92. Chuperka V. 56. Fattakhov L. 7. Gurfov A. 20. Kenfack O. 55. Lauk M. 70. Levin G. 8. Makhatadze G. 19. Osipov E. (C) 77. Temnikov I. 37. Vedeneev M.
Substitutes
38. Aleynikov V. 1. Belyayev S. (G) 7. Gashchenkov M. 55. Guzj D. 34. Kuznetsov P. 37. Malykhin D. 9. Nizamutdinov E. 44. Shishkov R. 16. Stavpets A. 4. Steshin E. 11. Terekhov A. 75. Vambolt D. (G)	10. Abdokov N. 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 9. Mamtov K. 11. Mutaliev A. 96. Smirnov A. 30. Takazov S. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G) 3. Zhilov I.
Coaches
Khomukha D.	Grigoryan A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 1.

Recent matches Shinnik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kuban is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shinnik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
12.08.23	Leningradets - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Shinnik - Khimki	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Shinnik - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	3:2 ✺
16.07.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLL
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
12.08.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Kuban Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	KAMAZ - Kuban Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Shinnik	2:0
Russian Cup
02.11.22	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1 penalties
Russian FNL
11.09.22	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0
08.11.17	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0
26.07.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Shinnik	1:0
12.04.17	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1
Russian FNL Cup
14.02.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Shinnik	1:0

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