Match Info

FNL - Round 10

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Saratov)

Referee: Zakharov I. (Rus)


	Sokol Saratov		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.85	3.03
	2.64	2.96	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.67)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
36%

Draw
32.6%

Shinnik
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

33.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Sokol Saratov - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Levashov M. (G) 25. Bakharev G. 19. Butaev A. 55. Bykov A. 23. Churikov I. 70. Daurov R. 8. Kahrimanovic A. 5. Kovacevic V. 6. Pechenkin N. 9. Shpitalnyi V. 51. Sinyak A.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 4. Bozov N. 50. Golubev A. 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 8. Kul R. 64. Lanin O. 5. Malyarov K. 15. Samoilov D.
Substitutes
64. Dolya A. 69. Ermolin R. 33. Gloydman N. 11. Golijanin A. 10. Gribov S. 13. Kireenko P. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 17. Mukhin A. 42. Shaykhtdinov D.	53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Kascelan M.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Shpitalnyi V. ↓, Ermolin R. ↑,
29', Gongapshev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bykov A. 🟨,
65', Daurov R. ↓, Mukhin A. ↑,
65', Kahrimanovic A. ↓, Kireenko P. ↑,
71', Bakharev G. ↓, Golijanin A. ↑,
74', Kul R. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
82', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
82', Samoilov D. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 2.

Sokol Saratov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shinnik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
08.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelyabinsk - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
07.09.25	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
18.05.25	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	0:4
01.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0
28.04.24	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	1:0
23.07.23	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	3:2
23.04.17	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	1:0
02.10.16	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	2:2
06.05.16	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	1:0

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