Match Info

FNL - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.1	3.85
	2.14	3.2	3.73	Watch
	1.96	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	3.13 ↓ (3.17)	3.79 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
45.1%

Draw
30.1%

Shinnik
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kuznetsov A. (C) 91. Noskov E. 30. Shavlokhov D. 21. Gurban G. 29. Mukhin A. 55. Aleynikov V. 20. Tur J. A. 6. Bagiev S. 17. Anisimov A. 19. Alcalde J. 33. Tsypchenko D.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 62. Karpov V. 53. Kotin N. 2. Kosogorov A. 44. Kornyushin D. 5. Malyarov K. 23. Nafikov V. 8. Kul R. 50. Golubev A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 77. Gongapshev A.
Substitutes
7. Aliev K. 18. Bolataev D. 51. Botnar V. (G) 14. Bragin V. 8. Emeljanov R. 77. Gurtsiev B. 82. Ilyev D. 78. Imamov I. (G) 96. Maksimenko A. 71. Masternoy V. 3. Pliev K. 13. Yanov D.	4. Bozov N. 27. Chernyi A. 55. Lystsov V. 61. Malakhov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 6. Rukas A. 9. Stefanovich I. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Aleynikov V. ↓, Aliev K. ↑,
24', Tsypchenko D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Alcalde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Noskov E. ⚽,
54', Kul R. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
64', Samoilov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
67', Bagiev S. 🟨,
69', Gurban G. ↓, Masternoy V. ↑,
69', Tsypchenko D. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
73', Malyarov K. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Bragin V. ⚽,
78', Alcalde J. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
78', Tur J. A. ↓, Yanov D. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Kornyushin D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 2.

In recent matches, SKA Khabarovsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shinnik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SKA Khabarovsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
29.09.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rotor - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWTL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
28.09.25	Shinnik - Rotor	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Cherepovets - Shinnik	1:4 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	KAMAZ - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.03.25	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1
10.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	0:0
12.05.24	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	2:1
16.07.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	2:0
27.05.23	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
06.11.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:1
Club Friendly
23.06.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:0

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