Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Shinnik		Spartak 2 Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.07	3.25	3	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.05
	2.2	3.49	3.29
	2.15	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.19	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
42.9%

Draw
27.9%

Spartak 2 Moscow
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Spartak 2 Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shinnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak 2 Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shinnik - Spartak 2 Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Shinnik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
07.11.20	Fakel - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Shinnik - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Krylya Sovetov - Shinnik	4:1 ✺
24.10.20	Shinnik - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Shinnik - Akhmat Grozny	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL
07.11.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:4 ✺
01.11.20	Fakel - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:1 ✺
28.10.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Orenburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
29.09.19	Shinnik - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:2
18.11.18	Spartak 2 Moscow - Shinnik	1:4
29.07.18	Shinnik - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:1
28.04.18	Shinnik - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:0
07.10.17	Spartak 2 Moscow - Shinnik	1:2
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.17	Shinnik - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:2
Russian FNL
26.11.16	Spartak 2 Moscow - Shinnik	1:2

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