Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Fakel		Spartak 2 Moscow

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4	5.75
	1.6	3.55	4.6
	1.54	3.75	5
	1.5	4.47	6.21
	1.52	3.7	5.8
	1.55	4.15	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)	3.94 ↑ (3.7)	5.53 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
59.9%

Draw
23.4%

Spartak 2 Moscow
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

16.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fakel's performance.

Spartak 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak 2 Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak 2 Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fakel - Spartak 2 Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion) and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Fakel is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Fakel won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
19.09.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Fakel	0:4 ✺
15.09.21	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:2 ✺
05.09.21	Fakel - Krasnodar 2	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	KAMAZ - Fakel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTL
- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL
19.09.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
15.09.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
05.09.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Olimp Dolgoprudny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.04.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	3:5
01.11.20	Fakel - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:1
23.10.19	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	7:2
Russian FNL Cup
09.02.19	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	4:0
Russian FNL
10.11.18	Fakel - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:0
08.08.18	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	2:1
05.03.18	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	0:0

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