Match Info

FNL - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Rubtsov E. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.8	3.52
	2.43	2.78	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	2.79 ↓ (3.01)	3.43 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
38.5%

Draw
33.9%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 21. Galoyan A. 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 9. Stefanovich I.	50. Shamov E. (G) 6. Batyrev A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 5. Emerson 21. Ivanov E. (C) 49. Kenfak O. 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 24. Pogosov A. 9. Ratkovic L. 25. Shershov N.
Substitutes
4. Bozov N. 27. Chernyi A. 50. Golubev A. 55. Lystsov V. 61. Malakhov A. 5. Malyarov K. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 17. Nikitin K. 11. Porokhov I. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	1. Antipin S. (G) 22. Gyurdzhan A. 8. Kanaplin A. 11. Khashkulov A. 75. Okladnikov A. 81. Pechura R. 44. Tikhonov M. 3. Tses Y. 17. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Tashuev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ratkovic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ratkovic L. ↓, Okladnikov A. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Okladnikov A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Miroshnichenko N. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
65', Gongapshev A. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
72', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malyarov K. ↑,
73', Samoilov D. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Kornyushin D. ⚽,
79', Shershov N. ↓, Khashkulov A. ↑,
80', Mazurin A. ↓, Gyurdzhan A. ↑,
84', Batyrev A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 1.

Shinnik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yenisey has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78% Yenisey: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	2	16
10	Yenisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
09.03.26	Shinnik - Ufa	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.02.26	Shinnik - Kyrgyzaltyn	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Shinnik - Dordoi Bishkek	4:0 ✺
09.02.26	Surkhon Termez - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
08.03.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Surkhon Termez - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0
23.11.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0
06.10.24	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
12.11.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	4:1
07.10.23	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1
12.03.23	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2
21.08.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	2:1

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