Match Info

FNL - Round 23

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Ufa

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.03	4.12
	2.11	3.02	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.34)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
44.7%

Draw
31.3%

Ufa
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

33.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Shinnik - Ufa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shinnik will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ufa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 62. Karpov V. 44. Kornyushin D. 21. Galoyan A. 77. Gongapshev A. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 64. Lanin O. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 9. Stefanovich I.	31. Belenov A. (C) 5. Kutin D. 14. Agapov I. 55. Shlyakov E. 7. Perchenok A. 8. Isaev S. 18. Kamilov V. 12. Linden D. 22. Yusupov Z. 88. Ageyan M. 11. Minatulaev O.
Substitutes
4. Bozov N. 27. Chernyi A. 50. Golubev A. 55. Lystsov V. 61. Malakhov A. 5. Malyarov K. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 17. Nikitin K. 11. Porokhov I. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	23. Akhatov D. 96. Baranovsky A. 40. Chernov A. (G) 27. Ivanov A. 15. Khabalov A. 69. Khanenko I. 50. Khomukha I. 19. Mayorov E. 24. Mrzljak F. 70. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D. 71. Yakuev M.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Tetradze O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Gongapshev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Miroshnichenko N. ↓, Golubev A. ↑,
63', Ageyan M. ↓, Yakuev M. ↑,
63', Lipovoy D. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
63', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
70', Minatulaev O. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Lanin O. 🟨,
79', Gongapshev A. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
79', Kotin N. ↓, Bozov N. ↑,
80', 🟨,
87', Isaev S. ↓, Mayorov E. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 3.

Ufa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shinnik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ufa: 0.78% Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
02.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.02.26	Shinnik - Kyrgyzaltyn	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Shinnik - Dordoi Bishkek	4:0 ✺
09.02.26	Surkhon Termez - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
28.11.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
28.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.26	Ufa - Aktobe	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Arda Kardzhali - Ufa	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
29.11.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.08.25	Ufa - Shinnik	1:0
27.04.25	Ufa - Shinnik	1:0
Russian Cup
15.10.24	Ufa - Shinnik	0:1
Russian FNL
07.09.24	Shinnik - Ufa	2:0
19.03.23	Ufa - Shinnik	1:2
27.08.22	Shinnik - Ufa	3:0
20.04.14	Shinnik - Ufa	1:0

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