Match Info

FNL - Round 22

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Rodina Moscow		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.54	5.9
	1.69	3.53	5.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	5.86 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
56.7%

Draw
27%

Shinnik
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rodina Moscow - Shinnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Shinnik will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Shinnik (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 1 - 50%). Shinnik (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 88. Sokol A. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 49. Dyatlov I. 17. Bakaev S. 77. Koryan A. 6. Fishchenko R. 5. Egorychev A. 99. Timoshenko I. 9. Maksimenko A.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 62. Karpov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 5. Malyarov K. 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 21. Galoyan A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 77. Gongapshev A.
Substitutes
18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 8. Cissoko K. 96. Garibyan A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 20. Kontsevoy A. 38. Musaev L. 10. Reyna Y. 23. Ushatov K. 21. Yudintsev G.	50. Golubev A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 55. Lystsov V. 61. Malakhov A. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 17. Nikitin K. 11. Porokhov I. 9. Stefanovich I.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
19', Miroshnichenko N. 🟨,
28', Koryan A. ↓, Reyna Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Malyarov K. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
54', Miroshnichenko N. ↓, Golubev A. ↑,
59', Reyna Y. 🟨,
67', Lanin O. 🟨,
67', Egorychev A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
68', Bakaev S. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
76', Gongapshev A. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
77', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Samoilov D. ⚽,
86', Samoilov D. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
86', Timoshenko I. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
86', Maksimenko A. ↓, Garibyan A. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Reyna Y. ⚽,
90+2', Krizan M. 🟨,
90+4', Porokhov I. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.

Shinnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rodina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 3:2.3).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Sochi - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Rostov - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
01.12.25	Rodina Moscow - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWTT
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Club Friendly
19.02.26	Shinnik - Kyrgyzaltyn	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Shinnik - Dordoi Bishkek	4:0 ✺
09.02.26	Surkhon Termez - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
28.11.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1
24.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	6:2
17.08.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:0
09.03.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:2
23.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	1:4
05.03.23	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	2:1
13.08.22	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1

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