Match Info

J2 League - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	18:00	K-Ball
Japan	19:00	DAZN Japan


	Shonan Bellmare		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.55	3.10	2.40
	2.22	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.37	3.17
	2.27	3.37	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.05
	2.17	3.22	2.99	Watch
	2.22	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
40.6%

Draw
28.3%

Iwaki
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Shonan Bellmare - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Sanada K. (G) 13. Shimoguchi W. 5. Matsumoto H. 3. Hakamata Y. 2. Matsumura S. 19. Nishino T. 26. Fukazawa Y. 6. Takeda S. (C) 38. Kozuki S. 9. Gonzalez F. 25. Okuno H.	23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 15. Nakano H. 35. Fukaminato S. 13. Fujii K. 30. Shota K. 22. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. (C) 10. Nishitani R. 38. Kumata N. 9. Michiwaki Y.
Substitutes
18. Ikeda M. 20. Ishibashi S. 21. Nagai T. (G) 7. Onose K. 37. Suzuki Y. 4. Tachi K. 17. Tamura S. 34. Yamada H. 30. Yamaguchi G.	16. Araki M. 28. Hisanaga R. 19. Jeon S. 11. Kato T. 2. Konno I. 21. Matsumoto R. (G) 40. Nagaki R. 4. Ushizawa T. 27. Yamanaka A.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Tasaka K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Sasaki M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Shota K. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Kumata N. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Kozuki S. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
72', Gonzalez F. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
77', Okuno H. ↓, Yamaguchi G. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Nishino T. ⚽, Yamaguchi G. (A),
81', Shota K. ↓, Hisanaga R. ↑,
84', Fujii K. 🟨,
86', Takahashi Y. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
86', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
87', Shimoguchi W. ↓, Tachi K. ↑,
87', Matsumura S. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
90+5', Nishitani R. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 8th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Shonan Bellmare could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Shonan Bellmare has faced a series of away games on the road.

Shonan Bellmare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shonan Bellmare has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Shonan Bellmare against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shonan Bellmare	13	5	7	1	15:12	3	22
9	Iwaki	13	5	2	6	20:19	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Kataller Toyama - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Imabari - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLTW
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
18.10.26	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	5:0 ✺
11.10.26	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Iwaki	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Iwaki	1:2 ET

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