The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 42.3%
Draw 29%
Albirex Niigata 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
28.9%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
30.5%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - J1 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
In recent outings, Shonan Bellmare has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Albirex Niigata is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Shonan Bellmare could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shonan Bellmare holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Shonan Bellmare has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:24 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shonan Bellmare against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Albirex Niigata
9
6
1
2
13:13
0
19
6
Shonan Bellmare
9
4
4
1
10:8
2
16
Last Results with these Odds
Albirex Niigata - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.46%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.