The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 54.7%
Draw 24.8%
Tochigi 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
23.8%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
22.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-1%)
Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 5. Matsumoto H. 3. Hakamata Y. 13. Shimoguchi W. 37. Suzuki Y. 16. Arthur Feitoza 6. Takeda S. 20. Ishibashi S. 77. Ishii H. 15. Fujii T. 34. Yamada H.
1. Kawata S. (G) 24. Tabata R. 5. Yanagi Y. 88. Uchida K. 6. Abe K. 47. Yoshino H. 40. Meshino S. 13. Osone K. 81. Nakano K. 27. Nagai T. 77. Nishino T.
Substitutes
86. Kase N. 2. Matsumura S. 55. Okaniwa S. 25. Okuno H. 8. Ono K. 28. Ota S. 31. Sanada K. (G) 17. Tamura S. 29. Watanabe K.
11. Aoshima T. 25. Iwasaki H. 37. Kimura Y. 9. Kondo Y. 21. Sakuraba R. (G) 17. Sugimori K. 15. Tsutsumi H. 39. Yagi K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽, Nishino T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fujii T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
46', Shimoguchi W. ↓, Matsumura S. ↑,
46', Kawata S. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Yamada H. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Nagai T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
62', Meshino S. ↓, Tsutsumi H. ↑,
64', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
64', Ishii H. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
69', Uchida K. ↓, Iwasaki H. ↑,
73', Okuno H. 🟨,
78', Nakano K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
78', Nishino T. ↓, Aoshima T. ↑,
79', Yamada H. 🟨,
80', Suzuki Y. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Kondo Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Watanabe K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sugimori K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamada H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Iwasaki H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ota S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tsutsumi H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Takeda S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Yanagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Okuno H. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Tabata R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Shonan Bellmare is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of away games.
In this match, Shonan Bellmare is considered a favorite.
We predict that Shonan Bellmare will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.